READY SIGNAL CONTROL DATA

Unemployment Rate: 20 Years & Over - Seas Adj

Why Use This Data Source In Your Models?

The unemployment rate for 20 years and over measures the share of the labor force above 20 years old that is jobless in the US. This is indicative of GDP levels and long-term economic health.

Unemployment Rate: 20 Years & Over - Seas Adj

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Automated Data Profiling

Ready Signal automatically profiles each data set and offers up suggested industry standard data science treatments to utilize with these data in your models.

Suggested Treatment:

The data shows auto correlation and a non-normal distribution. The data should be differenced. While the Order Norm transformation, provides the best normality, the Boxcox variable will also perform well.

Grain Transformation:

Data is unable to be distributed by time or geography. The roll up method used is Weighted Average.

Source:
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Release:
Employment Situation

Units:
Percent, Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:
Monthly

Available Through:
02/29/2024

Suggested Treatment:

The data shows auto correlation and a non-normal distribution. The data should be differenced. While the Order Norm transformation, provides the best normality, the Boxcox variable will also perform well.

Grain Transformation:

Data is unable to be distributed by time or geography. The roll up method used is Weighted Average.

Auto Correlation Analysis:

Data shows auto correlation indicating a need for differencing

The ACF indicates 1 order differencing is appropriate.

Further differencing is reccommended

Trend Analysis:

The Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test, KPSS Trend = 0.25 p-value = 0.01 indicates that the data is not stationary.

Distribution Analysis:

The Shapiro-Wilk test returned W = 0.84 with a p-value =0.00 indicating the data does not follow a normal distribution.

A skewness score of 1.76 indicates the data are substantially skewed.

Hartigan's dip test score of 0.03 with a p-value of 0.39 inidcates the data is unimodal

Statistics (Pearson P/ df, lower => more normal)

No transform
6.30
Box-cox
3.61
Log_b(x-a)
4.42
sqrt(x+a)
4.55
exp(x)
142.02
arcsinh(x)
4.26
Yeo-Johnson
3.61
OrderNorm
0.72

Auto Correlation Function

Auto Correlation Function After Differencing

Partial Auto Correlation Function

Seasonal Impact

Seasonal and Trend Decompostion


Citation:

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Unemployment Rate: 20 years and over [LNS14000024], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS14000024, December 15, 2019.

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