Board of Governors of Fed Reserve System
Money Stock Measures
Billions of Dollars, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Weekly, ending Monday
M1 is a narrow measure of the money supply that includes physical currency, demand deposits, traveler’s checks, and other checkable deposits. This is indicative of income and assets in the US.
The data shows autocorrection, seasonality and a non-normal distribution. The data should be differenced and seasonally adjusted. While the Order Norm transformation, provides the best normality, the Untransformed variable will also perform well.
Data is unable to be distributed by time or geography. The roll up method used is Weighted Average.
M1 Money Stock - Not Seas Adj
Auto Correction Function
Auto Correlation Function After Differencing
Partial Auto Correlation Function
Seasonal and Trend Decompostion
Data shows autocorrectation indicating a need for differencing
The ACF indicates 1 order differencing is appropriate.
Following first order differencing, no further differencing is required based on the differenced ACF at lag one of -0.04
The Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test, KPSS Trend = 0.24 p-value = 0.01 indicates that the data is not stationary.
The Shapiro-Wilk test returned W = 0.96 with a p-value =0.00 indicating the data does not follow a normal distribution.
A skewness score of -0.09 indicates the data are fairly symmetrical.
Hartigan's dip test score of 0.02 with a p-value of 0.20 inidcates the data is unimodal
Statistics (Pearson P/ df, lower => more normal)
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), M1 Money Stock [WM1NS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM1NS, December 19, 2019.